Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
IFK Umeå are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLDW), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while IFK Luleå are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Luleå hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (18.1 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.1% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while IFK Luleå holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
89.1%
Model confidence
89.1%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20