IFK Umeåvs
Friska Viljor
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 9/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friska Viljor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 0-3 (9%), 1-4 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Umeå 2-3 Friska Viljor
Original prediction
Friska Viljor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.72 | 11.7% | 8.8% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.75 | 15.7% | 12.1% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.25 | 72.6% | 79.1% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.0–39%
- 3.1–48%
Predicted outcome
Friska Viljor
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
Friska Viljor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80