Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boden · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
IFK Umeå are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Boden are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Boden hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (18.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.5% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while Boden holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Boden
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
70.5%
Boden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40