IFK Trelleborgvs
Sölvesborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Trelleborg 4-1 Sölvesborg
Original prediction
IFK Trelleborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 65.3% | 73.9% | 8.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.3% | 16.1% | -5.3 pts |
| Away | 6.84 | 13.3% | 10.0% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
IFK Trelleborg
Probability
73.9%
Model confidence
73.9%
IFK Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40