IFK Trelleborgvs
Räppe
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Trelleborg · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 4-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Trelleborg 2-0 Räppe
Original prediction
IFK Trelleborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 80.6% | 87.9% | 7.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.97 | 13.0% | 8.4% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 14.02 | 6.5% | 3.7% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.4–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
IFK Trelleborg
Probability
87.9%
Model confidence
87.9%
IFK Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00