IFK Trelleborgvs
Karlskrona
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlskrona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Trelleborg 2-1 Karlskrona
Original prediction
Karlskrona
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.1% | 33.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.0% | 23.5% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.9% | 43.4% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Karlskrona
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Karlskrona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40