IFK Östersundvs
IFK Luleå
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Östersund 2-2 IFK Luleå
Original prediction
IFK Luleå
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.9% | 38.3% | -8.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.5% | 19.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.6% | 41.9% | 12.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00