IFK Östersundvs
Boden
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Östersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Östersund 2-0 Boden
Original prediction
IFK Östersund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.4% | 62.4% | -0.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.5% | 19.2% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.62 | 16.1% | 18.4% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
IFK Östersund
Probability
62.4%
Model confidence
62.4%
IFK Östersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40