IFK Skövdevs
Skara
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Skövde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Skövde 0-1 Skara
Original prediction
IFK Skövde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.0% | 37.3% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.5% | 26.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.5% | 36.1% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
IFK Skövde
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
IFK Skövde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00