IFK Skövdevs
Motala
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 8/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Skövde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Skövde 3-2 Motala
Original prediction
IFK Skövde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.7% | 59.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.5% | 21.3% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.35 | 20.8% | 19.1% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
IFK Skövde
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
IFK Skövde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60