IFK Skövdevs
IF Karlstad II
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Skövde · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (12%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Skövde 1-0 IF Karlstad II
Original prediction
IFK Skövde
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.4% | 62.8% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.7% | 20.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 6.45 | 13.9% | 16.6% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–012%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
IFK Skövde
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
62.8%
IFK Skövde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60