IFK Norrkopingvs
Orebro SK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Norrkoping · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: IFK Norrkoping 2-0 Orebro SK, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Norrkoping 2-2 Orebro SK
Original prediction
IFK Norrkoping
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.58 | 58.4% | 75.7% | 17.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 22.2% | 15.5% | -6.6 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.5% | 8.8% | -10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.17 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.3 pts
Projected Score
IFK Norrkoping 2–0 Orebro SK
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
IFK Norrkoping
Probability
75.7%
Model confidence
75.7%
IFK Norrkoping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40