IFK Norrkopingvs
Ljungskile SK
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 9/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Norrkoping · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: IFK Norrkoping 2-0 Ljungskile SK, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Norrkoping 2-2 Ljungskile SK
Original prediction
IFK Norrkoping
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 63.1% | 70.3% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.43 | 20.9% | 18.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 5.76 | 16.1% | 10.9% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Projected Score
IFK Norrkoping 2–0 Ljungskile SK
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
IFK Norrkoping
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
IFK Norrkoping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00