GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/4/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IFK Norrkoping · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

IFK Norrkoping are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while IFK Varnamo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Norrkoping hold a 32.8-point power-rating edge (69.6 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Superettan, while IFK Norrkoping holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IFK Norrkoping

Probability

82.3%

Model confidence

14.8%

IFK Norrkoping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IFK NorrkopingLDWLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IFK VarnamoLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IFK NorrkopingIFK Varnamo
59.3Attack40.7
81.5Defence33.3
70.4Form31.5
69.6Power36.8
2.80xG0.54
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