IFK Norrkopingvs
GIF Sundsvall
COMPLETEDSweden · Superettan · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Norrkoping · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: IFK Norrkoping 3-0 GIF Sundsvall, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Norrkoping 4-0 GIF Sundsvall
Original prediction
IFK Norrkoping
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 79.1% | 62.2% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.94 | 13.3% | 20.4% | 7.1 pts |
| Away | 12.19 | 7.6% | 17.4% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Projected Score
IFK Norrkoping 3–0 GIF Sundsvall
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
IFK Norrkoping
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
IFK Norrkoping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00