GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 4/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Turku PS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

IFK Mariehamn are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Turku PS hold a 31.7-point power-rating edge (21.8 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while Turku PS holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Turku PS

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

15.5%

Turku PS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IFK MariehamnWDLDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Turku PSWLWDL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
IFK MariehamnTurku PS
15.8Attack45.0
28.1Defence63.3
8.8Form48.3
21.8Power53.5
0.57xG1.95
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