IFK Mariehamnvs
SJK
SCHEDULEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SJK · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Mariehamn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while SJK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and SJK hold a 20.2-point power-rating edge (22.1 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Veikkausliiga, while SJK holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SJK
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
12.2%
SJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40