IFK Mariehamnvs
KuPS
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 5/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
IFK Mariehamn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while KuPS are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 46.1-point power-rating edge (21.8 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.6% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
16.6%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00