IFK Mariehamnvs
IF Gnistan
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 6/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Gnistan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
IFK Mariehamn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IF Gnistan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Gnistan hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (21.8 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Veikkausliiga, while IF Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Gnistan
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
14.2%
IF Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00