IFK Mariehamnvs
FF Jaro
SCHEDULEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 8/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mariehamn are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FF Jaro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FF Jaro hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (22.1 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Veikkausliiga, favouring a draw with 14.3% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
14.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40