GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 7/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AC oulu · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

IFK Mariehamn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while AC oulu are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AC oulu hold a 30.7-point power-rating edge (21.8 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.2% in the Veikkausliiga, while AC oulu holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AC oulu

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

16.2%

AC oulu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IFK MariehamnLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
AC ouluLLDLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IFK MariehamnAC oulu
15.8Attack38.6
28.1Defence61.4
8.8Form52.6
21.8Power52.5
0.60xG1.68
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