IFK Luleåvs
Skellefteå
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norrland · 10/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Luleå 4-2 Skellefteå
Original prediction
IFK Luleå
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.8% | 41.2% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.7% | 24.2% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.45 | 37.4% | 34.5% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40