Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
IFK Luleå are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Kiruna FF are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Luleå hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 40.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while IFK Luleå holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
76.4%
Model confidence
76.4%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 17 · avg 0.80/3.40
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 0.50/0.50