Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0
IFK Luleå are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while IFK Umeå are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Luleå hold a 47.1-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 18.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.8% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while IFK Luleå holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
90.8%
Model confidence
90.8%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20