Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
IFK Luleå are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Luleå hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.7% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while IFK Luleå holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
60.7%
Model confidence
60.7%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20