IFK Goteborgvs
Vasteras SK FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Goteborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Goteborg 1-0 Vasteras SK FK
Original prediction
IFK Goteborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.8% | 39.4% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.93 | 23.7% | 24.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 22.5% | 35.9% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
IFK Goteborg
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
IFK Goteborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80