IFK Goteborgvs
Orgryte IS
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 8/30/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Goteborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Goteborg 1-0 Orgryte IS
Original prediction
IFK Goteborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 57.4% | 52.6% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 23.2% | 20.4% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 4.80 | 19.4% | 27.0% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
IFK Goteborg
Probability
52.6%
Model confidence
52.6%
IFK Goteborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80