GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 8/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

IFK Goteborg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while IF Elfsborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and iF Elfsborg hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (39.9 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Allsvenskan, favouring IF Elfsborg with 12.0% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Elfsborg

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

12.0%

IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IFK GoteborgWLWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IF ElfsborgWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IFK GoteborgIF Elfsborg
45.8Attack43.8
27.1Defence62.5
39.6Form50.0
39.9Power54.4
1.07xG1.82
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