IFK Goteborgvs
Halmstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/12/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Goteborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IFK Goteborg 2-1 Halmstad
Original prediction
IFK Goteborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 65.2% | 63.0% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 20.3% | 20.2% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 6.40 | 14.5% | 16.8% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.43 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
IFK Goteborg
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
IFK Goteborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00