AllsvenskanAllsvenskan
Sunday, 5 July 2026Last updated 10:12
IFK Goteborg

IFK Goteborg

Home
WLL
12
Full time
AIK Stockholm

AIK Stockholm

Away
WW
Gamla Ullevi
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
IFK Goteborg(28%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: AIK Stockholm
Win probability
IFK Goteborg
28%
Draw
26%
AIK Stockholm
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
IFK Goteborg
34
AIK Stockholm
73
Defence
IFK Goteborg
17
AIK Stockholm
66
Momentum
IFK Goteborg
33
AIK Stockholm
100
Danger (xG)
IFK Goteborg
0.00
AIK Stockholm
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (IFK Goteborg)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (AIK Stockholm)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (IFK Goteborg)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (AIK Stockholm)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg
WLL
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
WWLD

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
IFK Goteborg28%
Draw26%
AIK Stockholm46%

AIK Stockholm leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

IFK Goteborg head into this in Allsvenskan fixture at Gamla Ullevi in mixed form (WLL), while AIK Stockholm arrive in decent form (WW). IFK Goteborg have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for AIK Stockholm over 2 games.

Tactically, AIK Stockholm hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable IFK Goteborg defence (17/100), while IFK Goteborg's attack faces a solid AIK Stockholm backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

IFK Goteborg have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. AIK Stockholm have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

IFK Goteborg have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches. AIK Stockholm have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

AIK Stockholm have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects IFK Goteborg to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: IFK Goteborg 2788%, Draw 2593%, AIK Stockholm 4620%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

IFK Goteborg 0Draws 01 AIK Stockholm
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
5 Jul 2026
IFK Goteborg
L12
AIK Stockholm
xG 0.00.0

Recent form

IFK Goteborg

IFK Goteborg

W
vs IF Brommapojkarna
17 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
L
@ Malmo FF
12 Jul 2026
04
xG 0.0
L
vs AIK Stockholm
5 Jul 2026
12
xG 0.0
AIK Stockholm

AIK Stockholm

W
@ Mjallby AIF
11 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
W
@ IFK Goteborg
5 Jul 2026
21
xG 0.0
L
vs Kalmar FF
22 Jun 2026
02
D
@ Vasteras SK FK
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win IFK Goteborg vs AIK Stockholm?

GoalVio's model predicts IFK Goteborg to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for IFK Goteborg vs AIK Stockholm?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in IFK Goteborg vs AIK Stockholm?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in IFK Goteborg vs AIK Stockholm?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more