Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Ready · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Ready 4-3 Ullern
Original prediction
IF Ready
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.2% | 39.7% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.6% | 23.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.2% | 36.8% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
IF Ready
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
IF Ready has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
IF ReadyLLLDW
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
UllernLWWLL
GF 12 · GA 16 · avg 2.40/3.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
IF ReadyUllern
33.3Attack82.7
66.7Defence32.0
33.3Form52.0
45.3Power55.1
2.56xG2.84