GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Norra · 4/10/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

United Nordic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

IF Karlstad are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded, while United Nordic are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and United Nordic hold a 19.0-point power-rating edge (47.7 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Ettan - Norra, while United Nordic holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

United Nordic

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

United Nordic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF KarlstadWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
United NordicLLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
IF KarlstadUnited Nordic
45.6Attack68.9
48.9Defence57.8
44.4Form68.9
47.7Power66.6
1.19xG2.07
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