IF Karlstadvs
Stockholm Internazionale
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockholm Internazionale · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Karlstad 1-4 Stockholm Internazionale
Original prediction
Stockholm Internazionale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 33.5% | 25.7% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.1% | 25.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.30 | 39.4% | 48.9% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.30 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Stockholm Internazionale
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Stockholm Internazionale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60