IF Karlstadvs
Karlberg
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Karlstad · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Karlstad 1-1 Karlberg
Original prediction
IF Karlstad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 57.9% | 46.1% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.3% | 26.5% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 18.8% | 27.4% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.85 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
IF Karlstad
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
IF Karlstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00