IF Karlstadvs
AFC Eskilstuna
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Karlstad 1-2 AFC Eskilstuna
Original prediction
AFC Eskilstuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.6% | 35.3% | -15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.7% | 26.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.6% | 38.2% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
AFC Eskilstuna
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20