IF Karlstad IIvs
Vänersborgs IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Karlstad II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Karlstad II 4-0 Vänersborgs IF
Original prediction
IF Karlstad II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.8% | 48.8% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.2% | 24.6% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.0% | 26.6% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
IF Karlstad II
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
IF Karlstad II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 18 · avg 0.80/3.60