IF Karlstad IIvs
Vänersborgs FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Karlstad II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Karlstad II 1-3 Vänersborgs FK
Original prediction
IF Karlstad II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.7% | 38.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 24.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.91 | 31.2% | 37.6% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
IF Karlstad II
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
IF Karlstad II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80