IF Karlstad IIvs
Tord
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tord · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 0-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
IF Karlstad II 1-3 Tord
Original prediction
Tord
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.4% | 35.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.0% | 27.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 37.2% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.0–08%
Predicted outcome
Tord
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Tord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00