Division 2 - Norra GötalandDivision 2 - Norra Götaland
Sunday, 21 June 2026Last updated 12:39
IF Karlstad II

IF Karlstad II

Home
L
13
Full time
Motala

Motala

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
55% confidence
IF Karlstad II(20%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Motala
Win probability
IF Karlstad II
20%
Draw
26%
Motala
55%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
IF Karlstad II
34
Motala
94
Defence
IF Karlstad II
6
Motala
66
Momentum
IF Karlstad II
0
Motala
100
Danger (xG)
IF Karlstad II
0.90
Motala
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (IF Karlstad II)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Motala)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (IF Karlstad II)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Motala)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
IF Karlstad IIIF Karlstad II
LL
MotalaMotala
WD

Probability breakdown

55% confidence
IF Karlstad II20%
Draw26%
Motala55%

Motala leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

IF Karlstad II head into this in Division 2 - Norra Götaland fixture in mixed form (L), while Motala arrive in mixed form (W). IF Karlstad II have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Motala over 1 games.

Tactically, Motala hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable IF Karlstad II defence (6/100), while IF Karlstad II's attack faces a solid Motala backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

IF Karlstad II have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Motala have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Motala have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects IF Karlstad II to win with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: IF Karlstad II 1986%, Draw 2560%, Motala 5454%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

IF Karlstad II 0Draws 01 Motala
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
21 Jun 2026
IF Karlstad II
L13
Motala

Recent form

IF Karlstad II

IF Karlstad II

L
vs Motala
21 Jun 2026
13
L
@ Vänersborgs FK
14 May 2026
23
Motala

Motala

W
@ IF Karlstad II
21 Jun 2026
31
D
@ Stenungsund
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win IF Karlstad II vs Motala?

GoalVio's model predicts IF Karlstad II to win with 55% confidence.

What is the predicted score for IF Karlstad II vs Motala?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in IF Karlstad II vs Motala?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in IF Karlstad II vs Motala?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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