GGOALVIO

IF Gnistan logoIF GnistanvsIlves logoIlves

COMPLETED

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 5/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

IF Gnistan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Ilves are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 49.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilves

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

7.2%

Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF GnistanLWWLL

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
IlvesLLLWL

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
IF GnistanIlves
48.9Attack60.0
22.2Defence35.6
28.9Form48.9
33.7Power49.3
1.98xG2.74
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