IF Gnistanvs
IFK Mariehamn
COMPLETEDFinland · Veikkausliiga · 7/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Gnistan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
IF Gnistan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while IFK Mariehamn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Gnistan hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while IF Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Gnistan
Probability
79.4%
Model confidence
15.1%
IF Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00