GGOALVIO

IF Gnistan logoIF GnistanvsHPS W logoHPS W

COMPLETED

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 4/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

IF Gnistan are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 6.00 conceded, while HPS W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS W hold a 24.7-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HPS W

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

10.0%

HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF GnistanL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/6.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
HPS WDWWLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IF GnistanHPS W
48.9Attack48.9
22.2Defence62.2
28.9Form60.0
33.7Power58.4
1.13xG2.30
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