GGOALVIO

IF Gnistan logoIF GnistanvsHJK W logoHJK W

COMPLETED

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 7/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HJK W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Mediumconfidence

IF Gnistan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HJK W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HJK W

Probability

89.1%

Model confidence

11.8%

HJK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF GnistanWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
HJK WWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
IF GnistanHJK W
48.9Attack91.1
22.2Defence77.8
28.9Form93.3
33.7Power86.3
0.81xG4.37
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