GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 4/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gnistan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HJK Helsinki are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 55.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gnistan

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GnistanWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HJK HelsinkiLWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
GnistanHJK Helsinki
50.9Attack50.9
57.9Defence59.6
50.9Form54.4
53.4Power55.3
1.31xG1.18
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