IF Gnistanvs
HJK
COMPLETEDFinland · Kansallinen Liiga · 7/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4
IF Gnistan are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HJK are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK hold a 52.6-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
89.1%
Model confidence
11.8%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60