GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Gnistan · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

IF Gnistan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FF Jaro are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Gnistan hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Veikkausliiga, while IF Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Gnistan

Probability

72.5%

Model confidence

13.7%

IF Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF GnistanDWDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FF JaroLLDWD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
IF GnistanFF Jaro
50.9Attack31.6
57.9Defence33.3
50.9Form26.3
53.4Power32.8
2.32xG0.69
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