GGOALVIO

Finland · Veikkausliiga · 4/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF Gnistan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

IF Gnistan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while AC oulu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.4 against 52.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while IF Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF Gnistan

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

14.4%

IF Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF GnistanDWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AC ouluWDWLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
IF GnistanAC oulu
50.9Attack38.6
57.9Defence61.4
50.9Form52.6
53.4Power52.5
1.27xG0.89
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