IF elfsborgvs
SC Braga
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
IF elfsborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while SC Braga are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF elfsborg
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60