IF Elfsborgvs
Qarabag
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 12/12/2024, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
IF Elfsborg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Qarabag are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Qarabag hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00