IF elfsborgvs
Pafos
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/11/2024, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF elfsborg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
IF elfsborg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pafos are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF elfsborg
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60